Nairobi, Kenya – Thursday, September 11, 2025, 9:00 AM (EAT) – A majority of Kenyans are opposed to the Broad-Based Government (BBG) formed under the working arrangement between President William Ruto and former Prime Minister Raila Odinga, according to the latest survey by Trends and Insights for Africa (TIFA).
The poll reveals that support for the BBG is shrinking, with most citizens rejecting the partnership. Opposition to the arrangement rose sharply from 54 percent in August 2025 to 64 percent in September 2025, highlighting growing dissatisfaction among Kenyans.
Declining Support for Ruto–Raila Pact
TIFA noted that while support for the government has risen slightly, it remains heavily outweighed by opposition. The number of undecided Kenyans has also dropped, showing people are taking firmer positions.
“The broad-based government faces a legitimacy challenge, as opposition is not only dominant but also growing. Although support has inched up slightly, it remains far overshadowed by those opposed, and indecision is declining as citizens become more decisive in their stance,” TIFA said in its official statement.
In September, just 7 percent of Kenyans said they had no position on the issue, compared to 25 percent in August, showing that the debate is increasingly polarizing.
Survey Methodology and Scope
The findings are based on a TIFA national survey conducted between August 23 and September 3, 2025. The research involved 2,023 randomly selected Kenyan adults from all 47 counties, interviewed directly in their homes.
The report assessed citizens’ views on economic realities, government performance, political alignment, and the upcoming 2027 elections. It also examined how these perspectives shape opinions on the BBG, offering deeper insights into why Kenyans are divided on the political arrangement.
Broader Implications
The rejection of the Ruto–Raila partnership reflects widespread frustrations over rising living costs, governance issues, and economic hardships. Analysts suggest that the BBG could struggle to gain legitimacy ahead of the 2027 elections if current public sentiment persists.
For related political updates, see sauce.co.ke’s politics section
