President William Ruto would emerge victorious if Kenya held a presidential election today, according to the latest end-of-year opinion poll by research firm Infotrak.
The survey, released on Sunday, December 28, indicates that 28 per cent of respondents would vote to re-elect Ruto, placing him firmly ahead of his closest challengers.
Former Interior Cabinet Secretary Dr Fred Matiang’i ranked second with 13 per cent support, narrowly edging out Wiper Party leader Kalonzo Musyoka, who garnered 12 per cent. Embakasi East MP Babu Owino followed with seven per cent, while former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua received five per cent.
Meanwhile, People’s Liberation Party leader Martha Karua and former Chief Justice David Maraga were tied at two per cent each, reflecting modest support at this stage of the race.
Large Undecided Voter Bloc Signals Unpredictable Race
Despite Ruto’s lead, the poll reveals a highly fluid political landscape. A significant 25 per cent of respondents said they had not yet decided on a preferred presidential candidate, while four per cent declined to reveal their choice.
The high number of undecided voters suggests that Kenya’s 2027 presidential contest remains wide open, with plenty of room for shifts in public opinion as political alliances evolve.
Political Alignments: Broad-Based Government Leads
On party affiliation and political formations, the survey found that 32 per cent of Kenyans feel closest to the broad-based government led by President Ruto.
In contrast, 22 per cent identified with the United Opposition coalition, spearheaded by Rigathi Gachagua, Martha Karua, Kalonzo Musyoka, and Eugene Wamalwa.
Analysts say the findings highlight both Ruto’s current advantage and the growing influence of opposition coalitions, especially as leaders begin early groundwork ahead of the next General Election.
What the Poll Means Going Forward
With nearly a third of voters undecided and opposition support fragmented among several contenders, the Infotrak survey underscores the importance of coalition-building, grassroots mobilization, and economic messaging in shaping the road to 2027.
As political temperatures rise, future polls are expected to reflect shifting alliances and voter priorities, particularly around the economy, taxation, and governance.
The Infotrak survey was conducted nationwide and reflects voter sentiment at the close of the year.
